1 00:00:00,370 --> 00:00:02,178 25 years ago, we asked a group of 2 00:00:02,204 --> 00:00:05,098 education and technology and cultural professionals to predict 3 00:00:05,134 --> 00:00:07,410 what life would be like in 2020. 4 00:00:07,580 --> 00:00:09,642 As we wind down on the celebration of our 5 00:00:09,656 --> 00:00:13,318 125th year, we asked experts and influencers from Wichita 6 00:00:13,354 --> 00:00:15,462 State and our community to talk, talk about the 7 00:00:15,476 --> 00:00:18,810 predictions made during the University's 100th anniversary. 8 00:00:20,270 --> 00:00:22,122 So it's obvious life will be 9 00:00:22,136 --> 00:00:23,790 different by the year 2020. 10 00:00:23,900 --> 00:00:27,800 But what will become obsolete over the next 25 years? 11 00:00:28,130 --> 00:00:30,990 Students and members of the WSU community say 12 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,402 current methods of teaching will fall by the 13 00:00:33,416 --> 00:00:36,414 wayside and the lecture approach to teaching will 14 00:00:36,452 --> 00:00:40,714 disappear, and perhaps even the live onsite professor 15 00:00:40,822 --> 00:00:42,680 will become a thing of the past. 16 00:00:44,510 --> 00:00:47,586 That's great, well, obsolete that 17 00:00:47,648 --> 00:00:49,278 word was used in this. 18 00:00:49,424 --> 00:00:53,146 And what I would say has really shifted 19 00:00:53,218 --> 00:00:56,338 predominantly here at Wichita State, is that we're 20 00:00:56,374 --> 00:00:59,010 putting much more emphasis on applied learning. 21 00:00:59,180 --> 00:01:02,478 And so every degree program that we have 22 00:01:02,564 --> 00:01:05,602 really will have elements of applying what you're 23 00:01:05,626 --> 00:01:07,378 learning in a real world setting. 24 00:01:07,474 --> 00:01:09,490 So that definitely has been a shift. 25 00:01:09,610 --> 00:01:12,682 The video also talked about shifting from inperson 26 00:01:12,706 --> 00:01:15,958 lectures and certainly with the pandemic, we shifted 27 00:01:15,994 --> 00:01:18,106 much quicker than we would have anticipated. 28 00:01:18,238 --> 00:01:21,078 But even before the pandemic, over 50% of our 29 00:01:21,104 --> 00:01:23,994 students were taking some kind of online learning. 30 00:01:24,152 --> 00:01:26,958 And those classes are including elements of 31 00:01:26,984 --> 00:01:30,978 virtual reality, artificial intelligence, and just a 32 00:01:31,004 --> 00:01:34,186 variety of virtual and digital experiences. 33 00:01:34,318 --> 00:01:36,546 So definitely lots of changes. 34 00:01:36,728 --> 00:01:40,158 The group representing technology and communication offer a 35 00:01:40,184 --> 00:01:43,220 different insight into life in the year 2020. 36 00:01:43,730 --> 00:01:45,606 They expect the telephone of today 37 00:01:45,668 --> 00:01:48,440 to be obsolete in 25 years. 38 00:01:48,890 --> 00:01:51,078 This group agrees that we will no 39 00:01:51,104 --> 00:01:53,994 longer be dependent on printed materials, and 40 00:01:54,032 --> 00:01:56,706 paper shuffling will become a forgotten art. 41 00:01:56,888 --> 00:01:58,954 The standard work week will become a distant 42 00:01:59,002 --> 00:02:01,926 memory, and traditional jobs will give way to 43 00:02:01,988 --> 00:02:04,230 new careers in the next century. 44 00:02:06,470 --> 00:02:10,054 Really interesting predictions by that group, fascinated 45 00:02:10,102 --> 00:02:12,934 that 25 years ago they would predict 46 00:02:12,982 --> 00:02:14,374 the change with the telephone. 47 00:02:14,422 --> 00:02:16,926 And we see that today telephones today 48 00:02:16,988 --> 00:02:19,330 are so powerful in our pocket. 49 00:02:19,390 --> 00:02:21,546 We have machines that are small 50 00:02:21,608 --> 00:02:25,198 computers capable of recording, taking pictures, 51 00:02:25,294 --> 00:02:26,962 making movies with those devices. 52 00:02:27,046 --> 00:02:30,594 Now really impressive that they could 53 00:02:30,632 --> 00:02:32,310 see that so long ago. 54 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:35,634 Paper shuffling is not yet a thing of the past. 55 00:02:35,732 --> 00:02:39,090 We still have paper in lots of the things 56 00:02:39,140 --> 00:02:42,250 we do, whether it's in classrooms or in offices. 57 00:02:42,430 --> 00:02:47,358 Obviously, electronic documents are in use, and we use them 58 00:02:47,504 --> 00:02:49,794 more so today than we did 25 years ago. 59 00:02:49,832 --> 00:02:54,210 But even our electronic documents are still mimicked on and 60 00:02:54,260 --> 00:02:58,122 based on the printed material, on the off chance that 61 00:02:58,196 --> 00:03:00,080 we have to print them out for someone. 62 00:03:00,590 --> 00:03:05,094 Jobs have changed a lot more in the last 63 00:03:05,192 --> 00:03:08,898 year, I think, than in the prior 24 years. 64 00:03:09,044 --> 00:03:12,330 I think the really interesting thing for the next 65 00:03:12,380 --> 00:03:16,074 25 years is whether the way we do our 66 00:03:16,112 --> 00:03:19,518 work continues to evolve and whether or not people 67 00:03:19,664 --> 00:03:23,758 are increasingly working from their homes or from locations 68 00:03:23,914 --> 00:03:28,062 far removed from the offices of today those in 69 00:03:28,076 --> 00:03:30,918 the arts, Culture and values group see an end 70 00:03:30,944 --> 00:03:33,740 to the educational structure as we know it today. 71 00:03:34,190 --> 00:03:37,630 No more printed Museum catalogs or paper tickets. 72 00:03:37,810 --> 00:03:41,194 An end to public and federal funding for the arts, 73 00:03:41,362 --> 00:03:45,560 plus an end to our current rigid gender roles. Wow. 74 00:03:47,030 --> 00:03:47,780 Interesting. 75 00:03:48,890 --> 00:03:50,982 The more things stay the same, the 76 00:03:50,996 --> 00:03:53,060 more they change, or however that goes. 77 00:03:53,690 --> 00:03:55,520 Much of that is true, right. 78 00:03:56,810 --> 00:03:59,250 But for covet, I don't know that we would see 79 00:03:59,300 --> 00:04:02,514 our education system shifting as much as perhaps they thought 80 00:04:02,552 --> 00:04:06,222 it would in, but we're certainly in the midst of 81 00:04:06,236 --> 00:04:10,110 a shift in that particular space, I think, prompted by 82 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:14,874 all the most recent activities, although higher Ed, in particular 83 00:04:14,972 --> 00:04:18,942 with online education, has changed, maybe not as much as 84 00:04:18,956 --> 00:04:22,882 they would have anticipated in when I think about funding 85 00:04:22,906 --> 00:04:25,854 for the arts, I think if you look at the 86 00:04:25,892 --> 00:04:29,238 entirety of funding that is provided, it's about the same, 87 00:04:29,324 --> 00:04:30,426 maybe even a little higher. 88 00:04:30,488 --> 00:04:31,630 But when you look at inflation, 89 00:04:31,690 --> 00:04:33,440 it certainly has gone down. 90 00:04:34,070 --> 00:04:35,926 The arts have been politicized. 91 00:04:35,998 --> 00:04:37,338 I think the arts have always been 92 00:04:37,364 --> 00:04:40,938 a very political part of expression, but 93 00:04:40,964 --> 00:04:44,158 that has allowed for decreased funding. 94 00:04:44,194 --> 00:04:46,640 So I think they nailed it on that. 95 00:04:47,150 --> 00:04:51,474 Gender roles completely nailed it. 96 00:04:51,632 --> 00:04:53,014 Gender roles have shifted. 97 00:04:53,062 --> 00:04:56,734 Not only have male and female, just the whole notion 98 00:04:56,782 --> 00:04:59,554 of what gender is, I think, has continued to evolve. 99 00:04:59,602 --> 00:05:02,454 And so in 1996, they got that one right. 100 00:05:02,492 --> 00:05:04,834 That evolutionary process has continued. 101 00:05:04,942 --> 00:05:08,130 The one that I think is funny is the paper tickets. 102 00:05:08,870 --> 00:05:09,930 You can do both. 103 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:11,830 My mom still needs a paper ticket. 104 00:05:11,890 --> 00:05:15,142 My husband uses everything on an iPhone, and so we're 105 00:05:15,166 --> 00:05:19,350 certainly getting that way by five years from now. 106 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:21,562 I doubt that we'll have paper tickets at all, so we're 107 00:05:21,586 --> 00:05:25,086 well on our way for that prophecy to come true. 108 00:05:25,208 --> 00:05:27,702 These are really interesting, funny times 109 00:05:27,776 --> 00:05:30,306 change on the education front. 110 00:05:30,428 --> 00:05:34,170 Our discussion group predicts an end to letter grades. 111 00:05:34,550 --> 00:05:37,434 No more textbooks, and they see the 112 00:05:37,472 --> 00:05:40,530 disappearance of the traditional role of teachers. 113 00:05:42,110 --> 00:05:43,774 The traditional role of teachers. 114 00:05:43,822 --> 00:05:46,386 I'd like to know what the group of 1996 115 00:05:46,448 --> 00:05:49,398 believed was the traditional role of teaching and how 116 00:05:49,424 --> 00:05:54,022 they defined that teachers are still in the classroom. 117 00:05:54,106 --> 00:05:56,590 It's important that we have teachers in the classroom, 118 00:05:56,710 --> 00:05:58,794 but I think the role of the teacher has 119 00:05:58,832 --> 00:06:01,242 moved to more of the facilitator of learning. 120 00:06:01,436 --> 00:06:03,966 We're doing more project based learning 121 00:06:04,088 --> 00:06:06,166 or applied learning in the classroom. 122 00:06:06,298 --> 00:06:08,286 And so the teacher's role is about 123 00:06:08,468 --> 00:06:10,914 facilitating that learning process and making sure 124 00:06:10,952 --> 00:06:13,098 the resources are there for their students. 125 00:06:13,244 --> 00:06:15,210 We're still using letter grades, 126 00:06:15,530 --> 00:06:17,238 but they do look different. 127 00:06:17,324 --> 00:06:19,674 It's more of a standards based grading where we're looking 128 00:06:19,712 --> 00:06:23,598 at the mastery of learning of students, taking out all 129 00:06:23,624 --> 00:06:27,678 other factors, whether it be behavior or other factors that 130 00:06:27,704 --> 00:06:30,498 maybe we measured prior with the grading, and we just 131 00:06:30,524 --> 00:06:31,926 looked at the mastery of learning. 132 00:06:31,988 --> 00:06:33,390 And if the students are learning 133 00:06:33,440 --> 00:06:36,274 the content, no more textbooks. 134 00:06:36,382 --> 00:06:38,118 Well, we still have textbooks, but 135 00:06:38,144 --> 00:06:39,486 they have changed quite a bit. 136 00:06:39,608 --> 00:06:43,758 It was in the probably mid 90s that one 137 00:06:43,784 --> 00:06:47,430 to one initiative started in schools and we're seeing 138 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:50,418 that in the K twelve schools as well as 139 00:06:50,444 --> 00:06:53,180 the University level with the world wide web. 140 00:06:53,750 --> 00:06:56,154 As that has grown, they're using open 141 00:06:56,192 --> 00:06:58,498 resources and putting together their own textbooks. 142 00:06:58,594 --> 00:07:00,246 But we will always probably 143 00:07:00,308 --> 00:07:01,930 see the structure of textbooks. 144 00:07:02,050 --> 00:07:04,626 Those working with government and the law Believe 145 00:07:04,688 --> 00:07:07,234 the two party system will become obsolete. 146 00:07:07,402 --> 00:07:10,470 They also believe public accountability will erode. 147 00:07:10,850 --> 00:07:13,842 In addition, this group sees an end for small 148 00:07:13,916 --> 00:07:17,394 governmental units Such as counties and townships as well 149 00:07:17,432 --> 00:07:20,818 as an end to the welfare system and perhaps 150 00:07:20,854 --> 00:07:24,306 it's just wishful thinking but they also see paper 151 00:07:24,428 --> 00:07:27,140 becoming obsolete by the year 2020. 152 00:07:28,550 --> 00:07:30,798 Well, we certainly still have Republicans and 153 00:07:30,824 --> 00:07:32,514 Democrats And I think even in 20 154 00:07:32,552 --> 00:07:34,546 years we'll have Republicans and Democrats. 155 00:07:34,618 --> 00:07:38,098 Actually they're probably more powerful in determining 156 00:07:38,194 --> 00:07:40,962 policy and certainly who gets elected Than 157 00:07:41,096 --> 00:07:43,580 they were 2025 years ago. 158 00:07:44,210 --> 00:07:47,026 We probably have worse public accountability. 159 00:07:47,218 --> 00:07:48,874 Some of that is because of how the parties 160 00:07:48,922 --> 00:07:51,942 have changed, probably more important the death of local 161 00:07:52,016 --> 00:07:55,398 media and the changes in national media and we 162 00:07:55,424 --> 00:07:57,810 certainly still have counties and townships and such. 163 00:07:57,860 --> 00:08:00,474 And actually, I'm speaking here Right at 164 00:08:00,512 --> 00:08:03,754 hopefully the end of the coronavirus pandemic 165 00:08:03,802 --> 00:08:06,054 time and things like counties Are way 166 00:08:06,092 --> 00:08:07,820 more important Than they have been before. 167 00:08:08,330 --> 00:08:12,942 And while we do have government welfare, if anything we 168 00:08:12,956 --> 00:08:17,154 have more now, Although it's more in healthcare and less 169 00:08:17,192 --> 00:08:20,430 in direct payments Than it was 25 years ago. 170 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:22,374 I guess I didn't look at this on a 171 00:08:22,472 --> 00:08:25,602 small computer screen So paper is less important But 172 00:08:25,616 --> 00:08:27,500 I've still got stacks in my office. 173 00:08:35,490 --> 00:08:38,134 To wrap up our discussions of the future, we 174 00:08:38,172 --> 00:08:41,114 asked each group to identify their hopes and wishes 175 00:08:41,162 --> 00:08:45,490 for the year 2020 and the responses are inspiring 176 00:08:48,310 --> 00:08:52,180 world peace that's not imposed by military power. 177 00:08:52,630 --> 00:08:57,758 The global consciousness, A better quality of life to be 178 00:08:57,784 --> 00:09:00,340 judged as a man and not a man of color. 179 00:09:00,670 --> 00:09:04,506 An end to pollution, new vaccines 180 00:09:04,578 --> 00:09:07,010 for deadly viruses and diseases. 181 00:09:07,330 --> 00:09:10,614 I have a tremendous the faith in the human spirit. 182 00:09:10,782 --> 00:09:12,494 My hope is that this spirit Will 183 00:09:12,532 --> 00:09:16,262 continue to generate individual and collective success 184 00:09:16,456 --> 00:09:18,690 as well as a sense of accomplishment.