Does the NCAA coaching carousel hamper the professional prospects of college football recruits?
Hersch, Philip L.
Hersch P.L. 2012. "Does the NCAA coaching carousel hamper the professional prospects of college football recruits?" Journal of Sports Economics. 13 (1): 20-33.
College football recruits choose their schools partly for the opportunity to play for a specific coach. It is not unusual for the coach who recruited the player to leave before the end of the player’s career. This article investigates whether these departures affect a player’s National Football League (NFL) draft prospects. Regression results indicate that, for players drafted, a coaching change drops the average draftee’s position nearly two thirds of a round, potentially costing the player hundreds of thousands of dollars in guaranteed money. This harmful effect holds regardless of why the coach left, such as being fired or accepting a new position elsewhere.
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