Volatility transmission in U.K. housing: a multivariate GARCH approach

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Authors
Miles, William
Advisors
Issue Date
2010
Type
Article
Keywords
GARCH , Home prices - United Kingdom
Research Projects
Organizational Units
Journal Issue
Citation
William Miles. 2010. Volatility Transmission in U.K. Housing: A Multivariate GARCH Approach. Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management: 2010, Vol. 16, No. 3, pp. 241-248
Abstract

Despite its importance for gauging the probability of large losses and portfolio management, there has not been an investigation of how GARCH conditional volatility is transmitted between regions in the United Kingdom. This is an omission, as assets exhibiting GARCH have a much higher probability of large losses during high volatility periods than standard mean-variance analysis indicates. The findings indicate that there is a high conditional covariance between shocks of adjoining regions, and that the conditional covariance declines markedly as distance between regions increases. This suggests some scope for diversification benefits by holding a geographically varied set of housing assets.

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Publisher
American Real Estate Society
Journal
Book Title
Series
Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management;v.16:no.3
PubMed ID
DOI
ISSN
0896-5803
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