Exchange rates, inflation and growth in small, open economies: a difference-in-differences approach

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Authors
Miles, William
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Issue Date
4/11/2011
Type
Article
Keywords
Monetary-policy , Trade , Liberalization| Discretion| Regimes| Rules| Money| Fix
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Citation
William Miles. 2011. Exchange rates, inflation and growth in small, open economies: a difference-in-differences approach. Journal Applied Economice, vol. 40:no. 3:pp 341-348
Abstract

Financial crises in emerging markets have led many observers to recommend abandoning fixed exchange rates and adopting more flexible regimes. Moreover, some recent research suggests that the correct exchange rate regime may have a significant effect on inflation and even economic growth. The estimated effect found in such studies, however, likely suffers from an upward bias, as countries which choose a given exchange rate regime have other hard-to-measure policies and attributes which also affect economic performance. Utilizing a recent data set on actual, as opposed to official exchange rate regimes, this article employs the difference-in-differences method, currently popular in applied microeconomics, to a set of emerging markets that switched to more flexible currency policies. Results indicate that, contrary to previous studies, exchange rates themselves exert no significant impact on inflation or output.

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Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Journal
Book Title
Series
Applied Economics;v.40:no.3
PubMed ID
DOI
ISSN
0003-6846
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