Time-variant reliability-based design optimization using sequential kriging modeling

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Authors
Li, Mingyang
Bai, Guangxing
Wang, Zequn
Advisors
Issue Date
2018-03-21
Type
Article
Keywords
Time-variant reliability analysis , Design optimization , Stochastic processes , Simulation-based , Kriging surrogate model
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Citation
Li, Mingyang; Bai, Guangxing; Wang, Zequn. 2018. Time-variant reliability-based design optimization using sequential kriging modeling. Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization, vol. 58:no. 3:pp 1051-1065
Abstract

This paper presents a sequential Kriging modeling approach (SKM) for time-variant reliability-based design optimization (tRBDO) involving stochastic processes. To handle the temporal uncertainty, time-variant limit state functions are transformed into time-independent domain by converting the stochastic processes and time parameter to random variables. Kriging surrogate models are then built and enhanced by a design-driven adaptive sampling scheme to accurately identify potential instantaneous failure events. By generating random realizations of stochastic processes, the time-variant probability of failure is evaluated by the surrogate models in Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). In tRBDO, the first-order score function is employed to estimate the sensitivity of time-variant reliability with respect to design variables. Three case studies are introduced to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed approach.

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Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Journal
Book Title
Series
Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization;v.58:no.3
PubMed ID
DOI
ISSN
1615-147X
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