Enhancing decision making in power system planning using observable Markov Models and multi-objective optimization

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Authors
Anyama, Tettey
Kim, Hensley
Advisors
Issue Date
2020-12
Type
Article
Keywords
Production planning , Markov chains , Electrical networks , Multiple objective analysis , Decision making , Power systems
Research Projects
Organizational Units
Journal Issue
Citation
Anyama, T., & Kim, H., P.E. (2020). Enhancing decision making in power system planning using observable Markov Models and multi-objective optimization. Journal of Management & Engineering Integration, 13(2), 15-22. https://doi.org/10.62704/10057/24757
Abstract

In Power System planning, we seek to identify all current problems as well as potential issues in the electrical network and prioritize such cases accordingly for further action by management. Traditionally, load flow analysis is a network modeling and simulation approach that uses peak load as input data and generates feeder characteristics such as losses and voltages. The terminal voltages and losses obtained from such analysis are functions of the loading and circuit impedance. Since circuit impedance is fixed for an existing feeder, the peak loading becomes the main decision variable for System Planners. The use of peak loading alone for load flows therefore becomes an issue in Decision Making when an expectation of the peak is not quantified. In this research work, we apply Markov modeling to model the randomness in electric load behavior based on temperature. Instead of using just one historical peak loading, an expectation of the peak loading in different temperature states is modeled and used as the input for load flow studies. Based on the Decision Maker's (DM's) preferences and objectives for characteristics of the feeder in different states, the dominance test is used to rank feeders and their states. The approach sets the stage for Decision Making under uncertainty in power system planning.

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Description
Published in SOAR: Shocker Open Access Repository by Wichita State University Libraries Technical Services, November 2022.
Publisher
Association for Industry, Engineering and Management Systems (AIEMS)
Journal
Book Title
Series
Journal of Management & Engineering Integration
v.13 no.2
PubMed ID
ISSN
1939-7984
EISSN