Did the euro common currency increase or decrease business cycle synchronization for its member countries?

No Thumbnail Available
Authors
Miles, William
Vijverberg, Chu-Ping C.
Advisors
Issue Date
2018-07
Type
Article
Keywords
Areas , Endogeneity , Unions
Research Projects
Organizational Units
Journal Issue
Citation
Miles, W. and Vijverberg, C. C. (2018), Did the Euro Common Currency Increase or Decrease Business Cycle Synchronization for its Member Countries?. Economica, 85: 558-580
Abstract

We use two variants of Markov switching models to assess changes in output synchronization since the creation of the euro. Out of eight eurozone countries investigated, only onethe Netherlandshas synchronization increased since euro adoption, supporting the endogenous optimal currency area' argument of Frankel and Rose. However, in three other cases, business cycle synchronization actually fell since the euro's creation. Thus the endogeneity' of the optimal currency area criteria can go both waysadopting a common currency may increase synchronization for nations ready for a common currency, but it can lower synchronization for nations that are far from synchronized before monetary unification.

Table of Contents
Description
Click on the DOI link to access the article (may not be free).
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Journal
Book Title
Series
Economica;v.85:no.339
PubMed ID
DOI
ISSN
0013-0427
EISSN