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A novel use of the K-mean clustering technique for operational efficiency in electricity distribution

Tettey, Anyama
Hensley, Kim
Schrimpsher, Ann
Wu, Dongsheng
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Issue Date
2021-06
Type
Article
Genre
Keywords
Public utilities,Electric power demand,Economic forecasting,Electric power distribution
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Citation
Tettey, A. H., Hensley, K., P.E., Schrimpsher, A., & Wu, D., PhD. (2021). A novel use of the K-mean clustering technique for operational efficiency in electricity distribution. Journal of Management & Engineering Integration, 14(1), 9-16. https://doi.org/10.62704/10057/24764
Abstract
Observed data shows that extreme temperature is the main driver of electricity demand in locations of the world where seasonal variations in the weather are a yearly occurrence. Although utility planners and management are aware of this fact, setting expectations and load projections during extreme temperature events have been a challenge. Extreme temperatures in the winter, usually have a lot of variations with very infrequent occurrences for certain events. Despite these uncertainties, it is imperative to design the electrical systems to be ready for all uncertain events that may come up. This brings about the consideration of economical, safe, and efficient alternatives to shave off or manage the peak demand during extreme temperature conditions. Modeling the behavior of temperature and demand becomes very important for decision-making in this regard. We show that the first step needed to develop such a model of temperature and demand is to split days into groups that share similar temperature trends. The K-mean clustering technique is used in a novel way to do this. The paper gives insight into some interesting behavioral trends and patterns observed in historical temperature and demand data and sets a stage for effective forecasting of electric demand in the industry.
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Description
Published in SOAR: Shocker Open Access Repository by Wichita State University Libraries Technical Services, December 2022.
Publisher
Association for Industry, Engineering and Management Systems (AIEMS)
Journal
Book Title
Series
Journal of Management & Engineering Integration
v.14 no.1
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PubMed ID
ISSN
1939-7984
EISSN
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