Does the NCAA coaching carousel hamper the professional prospects of college football recruits?
Hersch, Philip L.
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Hersch P.L. 2012. "Does the NCAA coaching carousel hamper the professional prospects of college football recruits?" Journal of Sports Economics. 13 (1): 20-33.
College football recruits choose their schools partly for the opportunity to play for a specific coach. It is not unusual for the coach who recruited the player to leave before the end of the player’s career. This article investigates whether these departures affect a player’s National Football League (NFL) draft prospects. Regression results indicate that, for players drafted, a coaching change drops the average draftee’s position nearly two thirds of a round, potentially costing the player hundreds of thousands of dollars in guaranteed money. This harmful effect holds regardless of why the coach left, such as being fired or accepting a new position elsewhere.
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